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I mis-remember Niall Ferguson as a more lucid writer. My memory failed me. This book seems to be British conservative virtue signalling. Some random notes: .p4 "As I write (in late October 2020), the COVID-19 pandemic is far from over." 26 million cases, (underestimate) death toll 1.2 million ... . as I write this in March 2023, there have been [[ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic | 677 million confirmed cases, and up to 28 million estimated deaths. ]] .p4 Lord Rees: "bioterror or bioerror will lead to one million casualties in a single event within a six month period starting no later than Dec 31 2020". Lord Rees lost his bet, the cause is species-exterminating Chinese zoophagy. As I write this 2023 Mar 24, it appears that COVID-19 is [[ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zoonosis | zoonotic ]] and emerged from [[ https://zenodo.org/record/6291628 | raccoon dogs ]] sold at the [[ https://zenodo.org/record/6299116#.YhpLBi9h06w | Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market ]] in Wuhan. .p8 [[ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory | black swans ]] [[ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dragon_king_theory | dragon kings ]] [[ http://ssrn.com/abstract=1470006 | Didier Sornette "Dragon Kings, Black Swans and the Prediction of Crises" 2009 ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] [[ | ]] |
DOOM, The Politics of Catastrophe
Niall Ferguson 2021 Beaverton Lib. 362.1962 FER
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A wonderful cover photo, a golf game with a forest fire in the background. A foreshortening telephoto lens was used, which makes the fire seem much closer. The golf course is Beacon Rock Golf Course, and the September 2 2017 Eagle Creek Fire is 1.5 miles away, on the other side of the Columbia River. The fire started during the game, grew rapidly, and was starting to drop (cold) ash on the 18th hole putting green as this photo was taken. The golf course was never in danger, thousand-foot-wide rivers make pretty good firebreaks. And yes, the golfers were showing off, and left after the photo was taken. |
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I mis-remember Niall Ferguson as a more lucid writer. My memory failed me. This book seems to be British conservative virtue signalling. Some random notes:
- p4 "As I write (in late October 2020), the COVID-19 pandemic is far from over." 26 million cases, (underestimate) death toll 1.2 million ...
as I write this in March 2023, there have been 677 million confirmed cases, and up to 28 million estimated deaths.
- p4 Lord Rees: "bioterror or bioerror will lead to one million casualties in a single event within a six month period starting no later than Dec 31 2020". Lord Rees lost his bet, the cause is species-exterminating Chinese zoophagy.
As I write this 2023 Mar 24, it appears that COVID-19 is zoonotic and emerged from raccoon dogs sold at the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan.