HowMindsChange

• wiki.keithl.com/HowMindsChange

How Minds Change

The Surprising Science of Belief, Opinion, and Persuasion

David McRaney 2022 | Bvtn Lib 153.4 MCR

• p72 SURFPAD Substantial Uncertainty with Ramified or Forked Priors or Assumptions leads to Disagreement
  • Ramified = branching

• p202 Frank Capra Why We Fight seven information films (Hillsboro Brookwood & Cedar Mill )

• p217 Susan Pinker book [[https://susanpinker.com/the-village-effect/ | The Village Effect ]] at CMill

• p226 Anthony Magnabosco Street Epistemology Nine Steps"

• 1) Establish rapport. Assure the other person you aren't out to shame them, and then ask for consent to explore their reasoning.
• 2) Ask for a claim.
  • 3) Confirm the claim by repeating it back to them in your own words. Ask if you've done a good job summarizing. Repeat until they are satisfied.
• 4) Clarify their definitions. Use those definitions, not yours.
• 5) Ask for a numerical measure of confidence in their claim.
• 6) Ask what reasons they have to hold that level of confidence.
• 7) Ask what method they've used to judge the quality of their reasons. Focus on that method for the rest of the conversation.
• 8) Listen, summarize, repeat.
• 9) Wrap up and wish them well.
• p233 Anthony emphasizes improving people's methods for arriving at confidence, not persuading one thing or another

• p271 Will and Grace 11 season sitcom, 246 episodes